June 5/May 1, 2021 Election - Our Analysis
JUNE 5 RUNOFF ELECTION
Arlington Mayor -
Glaspie's voting record while on the council was a high F. However, he is obviously the better choice here. Glaspie is the only mayoral candidate that has voted in a Republican primary, twice over the last six primaries. Our choice: Michael Glaspie.
Ross, and his attitude, is totally useless. We project his voting record to be a low, low F. Much like Jeff Williams, his attitude is: “comrade, you pay to fund my buddies”. Based on his refusing to answer questions, his strategy appears to be to obtain the ignorant/uninformed voters and buy the election.
Arlington District 3 -
The least offensive choice of this field is Diana Saleh.
The Star-Telegram even withdrew their support of the other candidate, Nikkie Hunter.
Some Analysis
Make Your Vote Work for You
How do you make your vote work for you? If you think about it, there is some logic regarding the election to make your vote work for you.
If voting in a race that requires a majority, as mayor and city council races, if you have some idea which candidates will receive the most votes (predicted polling), it would be better to select the candidate you like the best out of candidates that you believe will finish within the top three. If these three are battling for the votes, this gives your choice of the three your vote to be in the runoff.
If voting in a race that will have no runoff-- a plurality race-- as most school board elections are, it works basically the same, but you vote for the better candidate that you believe will be one of the top two contenders.
U.S. Representative District 6
This is a very different type of election with all the candidates from all parties listed on the ballot and the top 2 facing each other in a runoff.
Our analysis finds us defensive. The Democrats (D) appear to be nothing more than Pelosi Puppets, the last thing we need in Washington. What we fear and don't want is two Ds splitting the majority of D vote, while four or five Republicans (R) split the R vote. Say, for example, the District voters are 55% R and 45% D. What we don't want is a final result similar to:
D1 – 20%
D2 – 19%
R1 – 15%
R2 – 13%
R3 – 12%
R4 – 10%
other Ds – 6%
other Rs – 5%
This would result in the two Democrats going to the runoff.
Therefore, instead of looking at this race by looking at the candidates and seeing who rises to the top, we look at the front-runners and determine how acceptable they are. Before the wife of Ron Wright (Susan Wright) entered we would have been happy with Jake Ellzey. Either would make a fine Congress representative. We will be supporting/voting for Susan Wright. A strong argument could be made that she is more prepared for this job than Ron Wright was when he started it. We know she is a conservative and know she will do well.
Again, if this were a primary, or this turns into a runoff between two Rs, we can talk of the finer points of the candidates, but for now let’s get at least one good candidate in the runoff.
AISD Recommendations
Let's face it, school board races are not very exciting. School boards can modify a few policies, approve a budget, and set a tax rate.
Last August the AISD flat out messed up. In the middle of an awful pandemic economy, they raised the M&O (maintenance and operations) portion of the tax rate 13 cents, really socking it to the taxpayers. That M&O rate is tied for the highest in Tarrant County.
One and only one candidate, Richard Weber, on the ballot for Place 3, has consistently sided with the taxpayers.
Where does the money go? Look at the benefits in the superintendent's contract: https://www.aisd.net/wp-content/files/Superintendent-Contract.pdf. Section 5 is Compensation, including the benefits. His annual salary of $334,317.66 is only a portion of the total cost.
AISD – Place 1
There are four candidates on the ballot. Two-- the first and fourth ones listed-- have been no-shows. Therefore, this is a race between the incumbent Polly Walton (listed second on the ballot) and Sarah McMurrough (listed third).
In our analysis, we find very little difference in the views of the two candidates. McMurrough is young and very energetic. While we may have had different viewsin the past, Walton has always been available to answer questions (the same cannot be said of Place 3 incumbent, Reich). What this comes down to is the virtual stick we are using to smack these trustees on the side of the head. Replacing two just has more sting. Our choice is Sarah McMurrough.
AISD – Place 2
There are two candidates listed on the ballot. The first on the ballot is the incumbent Melody Fowler. This would be her second term. The challenger is Michael Perkins. He is not campaigning because of the untimely death of his son.
AISD – Place 3
There are three candidates listed on the ballot. Listed first is the incumbent going for his fifth three-year term, Aaron Reich. Listed second is concerned taxpayer Richard Weber. Last on the ballot is Daphne Jackson.
Our analysis found that the incumbent (Reich) has been there too long, become a pawn for special interest, and lost touch with the taxpayers who he is representing. Jackson is concerned primarily with the inequality toward students of color. We strongly recommend Richard Weber to represent ALL of the citizens.
Arlington Mayor
Our analysis shows of the eight candidates, our best guess at which candidate would be best for Arlington is Kelly Burke. However, our [inaccurate?] predicted polling has him fourth among the candidates. We really wish he was running for a city council position, rather thqn the mayor's slot.
Our choice of the top three in our predicted polling is Marvin Sutton. His voting record grade is currently a C. He is easily the best of the top three. His concern for the citizens and community exceeds that of the others. When the dust clears, we hope Sutton is in the runoff.
Glaspie's voting record while on the council was a high F. He is clearly second best in this group of three. Glaspie is the only mayoral candidate that has voted in a Republican primary, twice over the last six primaries.
Ross, and his attitude, is totally useless. We project his voting record to be a low, low F. Much like Jeff Williams, his attitude is: “comrade, you pay to fund my buddies”. Based on his refusing to answer questions, his strategy appears to be to obtain the ignorant/uninformed voters.
The only other mayoral candidate worth mentioning is Dewayne Washington. We could see potential for his doing well as a council person, should he decide to run in the future.
City Council District 3
Our analysis of this field of five shows candidates that has declared bankruptcy, a Bernie Sanders delegate, a Comrade Jeff Williams follower, a candidate that changed their name or goes by an alias, and a far left, radial California liberal. In the last six primaries all five candidates have voted in at least one Democrat primary. None have stood in a Republican line. The least radical left of this group is Tamiko Brown, a schoolteacher.
The least offensive choice of the top three in our predicted polling is Diana Saleh.
City Council District 4
Our analysis of this field of five shows little chance of any change. Incumbent Andrew Piel, another believer in obtaining the ignorant/uninformed voters, is expected to obtain 75-80% of the vote in this district race. RINO Piel just falls in love with any new tax or tax increase. The best candidate in this field, with still a lot to learn, is Cheyenne Zokaie.
City Council District 5
There are only two candidates in this race. Both candidates have voted in both primaries. We give the edge to Rebecca Boxall. On our questions, she scored similar to mayoral hopeful Glaspie and District 8 Representative Odom-Wesley. Both of them grade out as high Fs as far as council voting records. [High F is definitely better than the low Fs that plagued the council prior to term limits.] Pastor Jones did not give us enough reason to prefer him over our choice.
City Council District 8
There are only two candidates in this race. The biggest difference between the two candidates was shown in our (Q5) corporate welfare question. Our choice, Chris “Dobi” Dobson, would have no problem voting against the $200,000 buddy give-away approved at the March 30 city council meeting.
Information Sources:
Arlington Spectator questions
February 25 Candidate Forum
March 22 Candidate Forum
March 25 Candidate Forum
March 29 Candidate Forum
April 15 Candidate Forum
April 18 Candidate Forum
Candidates' primary voting 2010-2020 inclusive [ 2021 Municipal & ISD Candidate Primary Voting Record - Google Drive ]
ivoterguide.com
voterguide.dallasnews.com
tarrantvotes.com
vote411.org
TCC Recommendations
TCC – Place 3 – Stephen Chacko (generally Euless, Arlington north of Pioneer Parkway)
TCC – Place 5 – Christi Clanton (generally Mansfield, South Arlington)
Our Mayor and City Council Scorecard:
| weighted | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| question | Term Limits Committee | Sales Tax Election | Density | Trans- portation | Corporate Welfare | Commu- nication | Issue | Our Evaluation | Total |
| M – Jerry Warden | 4.5 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21.5 |
| M – Marvin Sutton | 5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 2.5 | 5 | 0 | 3.5 | 67 |
| M – Cirilo Ocampo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M – Dewayne Washington | 4.5 | 5 | 2.5 | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | 5 | 2.5 | 81 |
| M – Jim Ross | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3 |
| M – Doni Anthony | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | 2.5 |
| M – Michael Glaspie | 4 | 3 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 62 |
| M – Kelly Burke | 3.5 | 5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 85 |
| D3 – Tamiko Brown | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| D3 – Diana Saleh | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| D3 – Alixis Lupien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D3 – Dora Tovar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | -1.5 |
| D3 – Nikkie Hunter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3 |
| D4 – Cheyenne Zokaie | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 3.5 | 5 | 5 | 2.5 | 55 |
| D4 – Nehal Mehta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D4 – Billy McClendon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| D4 – Andrew Piel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3 |
| D4 – Anne Nwaefulu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D5 – Rebecca Boxall | 3 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 2.5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 64.5 |
| D5 – Kennedy Jones | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 32.5 |
| D8 – Barbara Odom-Wesley | 4.5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 55 |
| D8 – Chris Dobson | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 82 |
Our Recommendations:
U.S. Representative - Susan Wright
AISD Place 1 - Sarah McMurrough
AISD Place 2 - Melody Fowler
AISD Place 3 - Richard Weber
Arlington Mayor - Marvin Sutton
Arlington District 3 - Diana Saleh
Arlington District 4 - Cheyenne Zokaie
Arlington District 5 - Rebecca Boxall
Arlington District 8 - Chris "Dobi" Dobson
TCCD - District 3 - Stephen Chacko
TCCD - District 5 - Christi Clanton